Sport Picks

Stadium Background

El Salvador vs Jamaica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Clavel R.
25'
Sub
Tejada R. In: Sibrian J.
Out: Tejada R.
36'
Cadamarteri B.

AI Match Summary

Jamaica in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jamaica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
El Salvador
35%
Draws
40%
Jamaica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jamaica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jamaica have won more games recently than El Salvador.
  • Win probability leans Jamaica's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 23%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador Jamaica
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Jamaica
0:2
Mar 24, 2022 World Championship
Jamaica vs El Salvador
1:1
Nov 13, 2021 World Championship
El Salvador vs Jamaica
1:1
Jun 21, 2019 Gold Cup
El Salvador vs Jamaica
0:0
Mar 24, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Jamaica
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Jamaica Compare

Top Goalscorer East J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador 16 / 100
Jamaica 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador Jamaica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: El Salvador stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

El Salvador's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Jamaica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador VS Jamaica
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador

(Home)
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1
El Salvador
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0
El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1
Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
Page 1 of 7

Jamaica

(Away)
06 Oct
Honduras
1 : 1
Jamaica
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2
Jamaica
29 Sept
Jamaica
0 : 1
Honduras
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2
Guatemala
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)