Sport Picks
El Salvador vs Panama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
World
World Championship 2026 Estadio Jorge Gonzalez, San Salvador 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sub
Cordoba J. In: Ramos J.
Out: Cordoba J.
21'
21'
Landaverde Alvarez B. B.
36'
36'
Cerritos M.
AI Match Summary
Panama in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panama.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: El Salvador
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- El Salvador haven't matched Panama's recent run of results.
- Panama are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 16%
Panama Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | El Salvador | Panama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2025 World Championship
Panama vs El Salvador
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
El Salvador vs Panama
0:1
Jul 5, 2023 Gold Cup
Panama vs El Salvador
2:2
May 1, 2022 Friendly International
El Salvador vs Panama
3:2
Nov 17, 2021 World Championship
Panama vs El Salvador
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
El Salvador Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Panama Compare
Top Goalscorer Fajardo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
El Salvador 28 / 100
Panama 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
El Salvador Panama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Panama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: El Salvador scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Panama let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: El Salvador stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
El Salvador VS Panama
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
El Salvador
(Home) 05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1 El Salvador
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2 Jamaica
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0 El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1 Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2 El Salvador
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2 Jamaica
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1 Martinique
15 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 1 Guatemala
11 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 1 Panama
09 Sept
El Salvador
1 : 2 Suriname
Page 1 of 3
Panama
(Away) 05 Oct
Ecuador
1 : 2 Panama
01 Oct
Panama
1 : 2 New Zealand
25 Sept
India
1 : 1 Panama
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2 England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1 Croatia
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Ecuador
1 : 2 Panama
25 Sept
India
1 : 1 Panama
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0 Panama
31 May
Brazil
6 : 2 Panama
31 Mar
South Africa
1 : 2 Panama
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Suriname | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guatemala | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Bermuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:23 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Honduras | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Nicaragua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
