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El Salvador vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Arnos Vale Stadium, Kingstown
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Joseph K.
39' Event
Adams J.
Assist: Stewart C.
46'
Sub
Ortiz S. In: Tejada R.
Out: Ortiz S.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between El Salvador and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
El Salvador
22%
Draws
60%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • El Salvador haven't matched Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saint Vincent and the Grenadines a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and El Salvador have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador
2:3
Jun 9, 2024 World Championship
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador
1:3
Oct 7, 2000 World Championship
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador
1:2
Jul 22, 2000 World Championship
El Salvador vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador Compare

Top Goalscorer Clavel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spring D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador 18 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

El Salvador scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: El Salvador stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador VS Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador

(Home)
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
El Salvador
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
04 Jun
South Korea
1 : 0
El Salvador
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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Away)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
09 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 : 0
Cuba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)