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El Salvador W vs Honduras W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gutierrez D.
25' Event
Fuentes D.
57' Event
Fuentes D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
El Salvador W
15%
Draws
37%
Honduras W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Salvador W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Salvador W come out ahead of Honduras W on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on El Salvador W taking it.
  • El Salvador W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor El Salvador W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • El Salvador W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
El Salvador W Clean Sheet 16%
Honduras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador W Honduras W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 24 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.64 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women
El Salvador W vs Honduras W
3:0
Oct 30, 2023 Gold Cup Women
El Salvador W vs Honduras W
5:0
Oct 27, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Honduras W vs El Salvador W
0:1
Nov 19, 2021 Friendly International Women
El Salvador W vs Honduras W
0:1
Oct 6, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Honduras W vs El Salvador W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.26

Honduras W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador W 41 / 100
Honduras W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador W Honduras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: El Salvador W scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Honduras W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

El Salvador W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador W VS Honduras W
3.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

El Salvador W

(Home)
06 Aug
Venezuela W
1 : 2
El Salvador W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Costa Rica W
0 : 1
El Salvador W
31 Jul
Venezuela W
2 : 0
El Salvador W
29 Jul
El Salvador W
1 : 0
Dominican Republic W
Page 1 of 7

Honduras W

(Away)
18 Apr
Honduras W
4 : 0
Barbados W
05 Mar
Honduras W
2 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago W
03 Dec
El Salvador W
3 : 0
Honduras W
01 Jun
Honduras W
1 : 0
Dominican Republic W
29 May
Honduras W
2 : 4
Dominican Republic W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guyana W 6 5 0 1 20:2 15
2 Suriname W 6 4 0 2 17:2 12
3 Antigua and Barbuda W 6 1 1 4 3:8 4
4 Dominica W 6 1 1 4 2:30 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 6 6 0 0 24:2 18
2 Martinique W 6 2 1 3 7:15 7
3 Nicaragua W 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
4 Honduras W 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic W 6 5 0 1 24:3 15
2 Bermuda W 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
3 Barbados W 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 6 1 0 5 4:26 3
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)