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El Salvador W vs Honduras W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gutierrez D.
25' Event
Fuentes D.
57' Event
Fuentes D.

AI Match Summary

The Gold Cup Women game between El Salvador W and Honduras W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Salvador W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
El Salvador W
6%
Draws
4%
Honduras W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: El Salvador W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Salvador W come out ahead of Honduras W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on El Salvador W taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Gold Cup Women game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors El Salvador W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
El Salvador W Clean Sheet 20%
Honduras W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Salvador W Honduras W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 3.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 CONCACAF Championship Women
El Salvador W vs Honduras W
3:0
Oct 30, 2023 Gold Cup Women
El Salvador W vs Honduras W
5:0
Oct 27, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Honduras W vs El Salvador W
0:1
Nov 19, 2021 Friendly International Women
El Salvador W vs Honduras W
0:1
Oct 6, 2011 Olympic Games Women
Honduras W vs El Salvador W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

El Salvador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Honduras W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Salvador W 85 / 100
Honduras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Salvador W Honduras W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Salvador W's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

El Salvador W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Honduras W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

El Salvador W VS Honduras W
3.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana W650120:215
2Suriname W640217:212
3Antigua and Barbuda W61143:84
4Dominica W61142:304
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W660024:218
2Martinique W62137:157
3Nicaragua W61235:115
4Honduras W61145:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic W650124:315
2Bermuda W641114:513
3Barbados W611411:194
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W61054:263