Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elana Torun vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stawski J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Elana Torun and Cartusia Kartuzy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elana Torun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elana Torun
6%
Draws
4%
Cartusia Kartuzy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elana Torun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elana Torun are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 13%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Cartusia Kartuzy
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0.14
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Elana Torun
4:2
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Cartusia Kartuzy
3:3
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Elana Torun
0:1
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Cartusia Kartuzy
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Stawski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.13
Avg xA / game 0.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 84 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Cartusia Kartuzy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartusia Kartuzy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Elana Torun scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Elana Torun stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Cartusia Kartuzy
0.75 Goals Scored 0.14
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 43%
88% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elana Torun

(Home)
25 Jul
Elana Torun
6 : 1
Mustang Ostaszewo
18 Jul
Elana Torun
1 : 3
Czarni Pruszcz Gdansk
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4
Elana Torun
04 Jul
Unia Wabrzezno
1 : 2
Elana Torun
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
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Cartusia Kartuzy

(Away)
30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2
Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)