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Elana Torun vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elana Torun host Kotwica Kornik in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Elana Torun have averaged 1.55 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Kotwica Kornik's 1.61 scored and 2.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Elana Torun have won 0 to Kotwica Kornik's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 2.13) back Kotwica Kornik to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Elana Torun
20%
Draws
34%
Kotwica Kornik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kotwica Kornik lately — more wins on the board than Elana Torun.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Elana Torun taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Kotwica Kornik
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Kotwica Kornik
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Elana Torun
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 83 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Kotwica Kornik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elana Torun scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Kotwica Kornik conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Elana Torun stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Kotwica Kornik
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elana Torun

(Home)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 7

Kotwica Kornik

(Away)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)