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Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Elassona Logo

Elassona

1 - 1
FT
Tilikratis Lefkada Logo

Tilikratis Lefkada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Elassona
20%
Draws
51%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tilikratis Lefkada haven't matched Elassona's recent run of results.
  • Tilikratis Lefkada are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elassona Clean Sheet 20%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elassona Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Elassona
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Greek Cup
Elassona vs Tilikratis Lefkada
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elassona 28 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elassona Tilikratis Lefkada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elassona scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Tilikratis Lefkada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Elassona has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elassona VS Tilikratis Lefkada
1 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Elassona

(Home)
04 Oct
Ermis Exochis
3 : 1
Elassona
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Away)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 27 13 13 3 30:21 46
2 Lamia 27 11 14 3 36:18 44
3 Aris Filiaton 27 13 9 7 32:22 42
4 AO Trikala 27 11 13 5 31:20 40
5 Asteras Stavrou 27 12 9 8 32:34 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 27 10 11 8 26:27 35
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)