Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elche vs Alaves

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ibanez P.
29'
Blanco A.
33'
Otto J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Elche
20%
Draws
70%
Alaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alaves lately — more wins on the board than Elche.
  • Alaves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%
Alaves Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Alaves
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 LaLiga
Elche vs Alaves
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 LaLiga
Alaves vs Elche
3:1
Feb 5, 2022 LaLiga
Elche vs Alaves
3:1
Oct 26, 2021 LaLiga
Alaves vs Elche
1:0
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Alaves vs Elche
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alaves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 10 / 100
Alaves 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Alaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alaves has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Elche remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Alaves
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
23 Aug
Elche
0 : 5
Barcelona
Page 1 of 6

Alaves

(Away)
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1
Alaves
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
28 Aug
Alaves
1 : 0
Villarreal
20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Alaves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)