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Elche vs Hercules

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sotillos A.
24'
Rojas C.
45'
Alvarez A.

AI Match Summary

Elche in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Elche
15%
Draws
51%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Elche average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Hercules's 1.
  • Model gives Hercules a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Elche Clean Sheet 18%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Hercules
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Elche vs Hercules
1:0
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Elche
2:0
May 6, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Elche vs Hercules
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Elche
0:0
Sep 20, 2017 Copa del Rey
Hercules vs Elche
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Febas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 28 / 100
Hercules 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Hercules registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Hercules
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
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Hercules

(Away)
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0
Hercules
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