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Elche vs Hercules

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sotillos A.
24'
Rojas C.
45'
Alvarez A.

AI Match Summary

Elche in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Elche
35%
Draws
35%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Hercules have won more games recently than Elche.
  • Model gives Elche a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elche Clean Sheet 19%
Hercules Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Hercules
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Elche vs Hercules
1:0
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Elche
2:0
May 6, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Elche vs Hercules
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Elche
0:0
Sep 20, 2017 Copa del Rey
Hercules vs Elche
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elche Compare

Top Goalscorer Febas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 36 / 100
Hercules 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Elche stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hercules has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Hercules
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
31 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Cordoba
28 Jul
Elche
2 : 2
Al Ain
24 Jul
Elche
0 : 0
Johor DT
18 Jul
Elche
2 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
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Hercules

(Away)
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1
Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2
Hercules
09 May
Hercules
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
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