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Elche vs Valencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elche host Valencia in the LaLiga. This one's hard to separate. Elche have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Valencia's 1.23 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Elche have won 1 to Valencia's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward Elche. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Elche
35%
Draws
25%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Elche average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Valencia's 1.23.
  • Model gives Elche a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Elche Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elche Valencia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 LaLiga
Elche vs Valencia
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Elche
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 LaLiga
Elche vs Valencia
0:2
Oct 15, 2022 LaLiga
Valencia vs Elche
2:2
Mar 19, 2022 LaLiga
Elche vs Valencia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elche 95 / 100
Valencia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elche Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elche Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elche's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Valencia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Elche has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elche VS Valencia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elche

(Home)
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3
Elche
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0
Elche
11 Oct
Elche
0 : 0
Celta Vigo
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6

Valencia

(Away)
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
15 Sept
Alaves
0 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 10 9 0 1 40:11 27
2 Atl. Madrid 10 8 1 1 20:8 25
3 Real Madrid 10 8 0 2 25:10 24
4 Betis 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
5 Real Sociedad 10 6 1 3 19:18 19
6 Sevilla 10 5 2 3 16:16 17
7 Alaves 10 3 3 4 14:11 12
8 Ath Bilbao 9 3 3 3 12:9 12
9 Celta Vigo 10 2 6 2 10:7 12
10 Villarreal 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
11 Dep. A Coruna 10 2 5 3 13:13 11
12 Osasuna 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
13 Racing Santander 10 3 2 5 15:26 11
14 Levante 10 2 4 4 16:19 10
15 Elche 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
16 Rayo Vallecano 9 2 3 4 12:20 9
17 Getafe 10 2 3 5 5:15 9
18 Espanyol 10 2 2 6 12:14 8
19 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
20 Malaga 10 0 5 5 7:19 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)