Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eldense vs Atl. Madrid B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Clemente J.
20' Event
Ortiz A.
(Penalty)
29'
Serradell A. G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Eldense and Atl. Madrid B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Eldense
15%
Draws
34%
Atl. Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eldense come out ahead of Atl. Madrid B on wins alone.
  • Eldense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Eldense Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Atl. Madrid B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Atl. Madrid B
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Eldense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 59 / 100
Atl. Madrid B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Atl. Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eldense scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid B conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Atl. Madrid B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS Atl. Madrid B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
11 Aug
Eldense
3 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
07 Aug
Albacete
1 : 0
Eldense
04 Aug
Eldense
1 : 3
Villarreal B
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1
Eldense
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
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Atl. Madrid B

(Away)
08 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1
Ponferradina
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
23 May
Atl. Madrid B
3 : 1
Algeciras
16 May
Eldense
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)