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Eldense vs FC Cartagena SAD

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Baz I.
60'
Serradell A. G.
61'
Sub
Calvo B. In: Dioni
Out: Calvo B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Eldense and FC Cartagena SAD finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Eldense
40%
Draws
29%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cartagena SAD haven't matched Eldense's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Eldense Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs FC Cartagena SAD
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Eldense
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Cartagena SAD vs Eldense
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 LaLiga2
FC Cartagena SAD vs Eldense
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 LaLiga2
Eldense vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintana N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alba H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Baz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 42 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eldense scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

FC Cartagena SAD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Eldense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS FC Cartagena SAD
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0
Eldense
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Eldense
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid B
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FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
23 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 2
Betis B
16 May
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
08 May
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 1
Alcorcon
01 May
Algeciras
2 : 2
FC Cartagena SAD
26 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)