Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eleftheroupolis vs Pontion Nea Amisos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eleftheroupolis host Pontion Nea Amisos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. Pontion Nea Amisos go into this one as the clear favorite. Pontion Nea Amisos have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Eleftheroupolis have conceded 1.62 and scored 0.83. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.54) point toward Pontion Nea Amisos. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Eleftheroupolis
25%
Draws
35%
Pontion Nea Amisos
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Eleftheroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eleftheroupolis lately — more wins on the board than Pontion Nea Amisos.
  • Win probability leans Pontion Nea Amisos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Eleftheroupolis Clean Sheet 15%
Pontion Nea Amisos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eleftheroupolis Pontion Nea Amisos
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 3 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 0.83 2
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eleftheroupolis 19 / 100
Pontion Nea Amisos 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eleftheroupolis Pontion Nea Amisos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontion Nea Amisos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontion Nea Amisos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Eleftheroupolis found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Eleftheroupolis stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Pontion Nea Amisos has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eleftheroupolis VS Pontion Nea Amisos
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Eleftheroupolis

(Home)
18 Oct
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 4
Doxa Dramas
10 Oct
Sidirochori
2 : 2
Eleftheroupolis
17 May
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 0
Aris
10 May
Eleftheroupolis
0 : 1
Ethnikos Alexandroupoli
03 May
Thyella Filotas
2 : 0
Eleftheroupolis
Page 1 of 6

Pontion Nea Amisos

(Away)
18 Oct
Pontion Nea Amisos
2 : 1
Thrakis
10 Oct
MAS Ardas Kastanion
3 : 2
Pontion Nea Amisos

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doxa Dramas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Xanthi 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Kavala 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
5 Pontion Nea Amisos 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Sidirochori 2 0 2 0 5:5 2
7 Aetos Ofryniou 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 Eleftheroupolis 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
9 Thrakis 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
10 Apollon Paralimniou 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)