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Elfsborg vs AIK

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hove J.
33' Event
Magnusson J.
84' Event
Filling K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Elfsborg and AIK finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elfsborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Elfsborg
22%
Draws
60%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AIK come out ahead of Elfsborg on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on AIK taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 19%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg AIK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs AIK
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs AIK
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs AIK
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Elfsborg
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Elfsborg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Hove J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filling K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 20 / 100
AIK 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

AIK let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Elfsborg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS AIK
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
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AIK

(Away)
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
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