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Elfsborg vs Degerfors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ostman L.
Assist: Hult N.
29'
Diatara S.
59'
Sub
Diatara S. In: Sundgren D.
Out: Diatara S.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Elfsborg and Degerfors finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elfsborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Elfsborg
15%
Draws
26%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Elfsborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elfsborg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elfsborg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 20%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Degerfors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Elfsborg
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Elfsborg
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ostman L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurpalsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 67 / 100
Degerfors 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elfsborg scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Degerfors let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Elfsborg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Degerfors
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
03 Oct
Brage
1 : 1
Degerfors
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)