Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elfsborg vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Borås Arena, Borås
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg host Degerfors in the Allsvenskan. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Elfsborg at 1.52 goals for, 1.03 against; Degerfors at 1.39 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Elfsborg have won 3 to Degerfors's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.88, favoring Elfsborg. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Elfsborg
15%
Draws
36%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Elfsborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elfsborg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 20%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Degerfors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Elfsborg
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Elfsborg
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
4:1
Mar 3, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Elfsborg vs Degerfors
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 40 / 100
Degerfors 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Degerfors has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Elfsborg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Degerfors
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
18 Aug
Frolunda
0 : 4
Elfsborg
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0
Vasteras SK
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Elfsborg
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
16 Aug
Degerfors
3 : 0
IFK Goteborg
09 Aug
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Degerfors
02 Aug
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 17 13 3 1 47:23 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 40:15 33
3 Hacken 17 7 7 3 29:26 28
4 AIK 17 8 4 5 25:25 28
5 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 24:18 27
6 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 34:19 26
7 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 32:27 26
8 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 25:32 25
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 21:16 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 25:27 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
12 IFK Goteborg 17 5 4 8 22:38 19
13 Kalmar 17 5 3 9 21:28 18
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 17:27 16
15 Orgryte 17 3 4 10 21:40 13
16 Halmstad 17 1 4 12 11:34 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)