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Stadium Background

Elfsborg vs Orgryte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Borås Arena, Borås
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg host Orgryte in the Allsvenskan. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Elfsborg have averaged 1.57 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Orgryte's 1.25 scored and 2.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Elfsborg slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Elfsborg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Elfsborg
20%
Draws
23%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elfsborg come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Elfsborg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 20%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Orgryte
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Elfsborg
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Elfsborg vs Orgryte
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs Elfsborg
3:2
Mar 26, 2021 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Orgryte
2:0
Feb 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Orgryte
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 85 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Orgryte let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Elfsborg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Orgryte
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
12 Oct
Elfsborg
4 : 0
Halmstad
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

Orgryte

(Away)
18 Oct
Orgryte
4 : 2
GAIS
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 24 17 4 3 55:30 55
2 Djurgarden 24 15 2 7 50:21 47
3 Hammarby 24 14 4 6 50:21 46
4 Hacken 24 11 9 4 43:30 42
5 Elfsborg 24 11 8 5 37:24 41
6 Vasteras SK 24 11 5 8 35:36 38
7 Malmo FF 24 11 3 10 38:34 36
8 IFK Goteborg 24 10 6 8 34:43 36
9 AIK 24 9 7 8 38:42 34
10 GAIS 24 8 6 10 30:25 30
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 36:43 30
12 Mjallby 24 5 8 11 28:40 23
13 Kalmar 24 6 4 14 23:38 22
14 Degerfors 24 5 5 14 21:37 20
15 Orgryte 24 4 6 14 29:54 18
16 Halmstad 24 3 5 16 16:45 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)