Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Magnusson J.
Assist: Kamara M.
43'
43'
Baggesen M.
46'
46'
Sub
Baggesen M. In: Karlsson J.
Out: Baggesen M.
AI Match Summary
Elfsborg in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elfsborg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elfsborg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Elfsborg lately — more wins on the board than Vasteras SK.
- Model gives Elfsborg a 48% chance of winning this.
- Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Elfsborg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 16%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elfsborg | Vasteras SK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Elfsborg
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Elfsborg
0:1
Jun 27, 2002 Svenska Cupen
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elfsborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Kamara M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Magnusson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Vasteras SK Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elfsborg 84 / 100
Vasteras SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elfsborg Vasteras SK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elfsborg scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Vasteras SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Elfsborg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Elfsborg VS Vasteras SK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elfsborg
(Home) 14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0 Vasteras SK
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1 Elfsborg
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2 Elfsborg
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3 Sirius
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0 Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0 Vasteras SK
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3 Sirius
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2 Hammarby
25 May
Elfsborg
1 : 1 Hacken
21 May
Elfsborg
1 : 1 Mjallby
Page 1 of 4
Vasteras SK
(Away) 14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0 Vasteras SK
10 Aug
Vasteras SK
1 : 0 Djurgarden
03 Aug
Djurgarden
6 : 0 Vasteras SK
24 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0 Orgryte
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0 Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0 Vasteras SK
03 Aug
Djurgarden
6 : 0 Vasteras SK
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0 Vasteras SK
04 Jul
Halmstad
1 : 3 Vasteras SK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2 Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 47:23 | 42 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40:15 | 33 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Djurgarden | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 34:19 | 26 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32:27 | 26 |
| 7 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 28:26 | 25 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 9 | GAIS | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:16 | 23 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 11 | Mjallby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24:23 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:38 | 19 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 16 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 21:40 | 13 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11:33 | 7 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)
