Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elfsborg W vs Umea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Own Goal
39' Event
Lopez V.
49' Event
Jensen S.

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg W in this Elitettan Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elfsborg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Elfsborg W
15%
Draws
46%
Umea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elfsborg W lately — more wins on the board than Umea W.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Umea W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elfsborg W Clean Sheet 13%
Umea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg W Umea W
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 22 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.94 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Elfsborg W
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Umea W
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Umea W
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Elfsborg W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Umea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Westbom L. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg W 22 / 100
Umea W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg W Umea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg W scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Elfsborg W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Umea W conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg W VS Umea W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg W

(Home)
08 Oct
Alingsas W
0 : 3
Elfsborg W
03 Oct
Trelleborg W
2 : 4
Elfsborg W
26 Sept
IFK Goteborg W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
19 Sept
Elfsborg W
1 : 0
Sandviken W
12 Sept
Linkoping W
2 : 3
Elfsborg W
Page 1 of 7

Umea W

(Away)
04 Oct
Umea W
2 : 0
Husqvarna W
26 Sept
Sandviken W
1 : 2
Umea W
23 Sept
Sandviken W
2 : 6
Umea W
20 Sept
Umea W
5 : 1
Enskede W
12 Sept
Hacken B W
0 : 2
Umea W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elfsborg W 21 14 6 1 41:12 48
2 KIF Orebro W 21 15 2 4 50:25 47
3 IFK Goteborg W 21 13 6 2 52:24 45
4 Linkoping W 21 13 3 5 39:28 42
5 Umea W 21 11 4 6 37:24 37
6 Trelleborg W 21 9 5 7 30:31 32
7 Husqvarna W 21 8 4 9 28:32 28
8 Jitex W 21 7 6 8 28:30 27
9 Orebro SK W 21 7 5 9 26:32 26
10 Enskede W 21 6 4 11 29:39 22
11 Alingsas W 21 4 7 10 18:29 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 21 4 5 12 22:35 17
13 Sandviken W 21 2 5 14 20:56 11
14 Hacken B W 21 2 2 17 22:45 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)