Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elfsborg W vs Umea W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Own Goal
39' Event
Lopez V.
49' Event
Jensen S.

AI Match Summary

Elfsborg W in this Elitettan Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elfsborg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Elfsborg W
20%
Draws
23%
Umea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elfsborg W lately — more wins on the board than Umea W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Elfsborg W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elfsborg W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elfsborg W Clean Sheet 20%
Umea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg W Umea W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Umea W
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Umea W
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Elfsborg W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Umea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Westbom L. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg W 85 / 100
Umea W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg W Umea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg W scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Umea W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Elfsborg W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg W VS Umea W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg W

(Home)
08 Aug
Sandviken W
0 : 4
Elfsborg W
05 Aug
Ulricehamns IFK W
1 : 2
Elfsborg W
01 Aug
Elfsborg W
0 : 0
Trelleborg W
25 Jul
Elfsborg W
4 : 1
Umea W
19 Jul
Norrkoping W
4 : 2
Elfsborg W
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Umea W

(Away)
08 Aug
Husqvarna W
1 : 2
Umea W
01 Aug
Umea W
1 : 1
IFK Goteborg W
25 Jul
Elfsborg W
4 : 1
Umea W
21 Jun
Orebro SK W
1 : 0
Umea W
14 Jun
Umea W
1 : 2
Linkoping W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elfsborg W 13 9 4 0 24:3 31
2 Linkoping W 13 9 3 1 27:13 30
3 IFK Goteborg W 13 8 4 1 31:14 28
4 KIF Orebro W 13 9 1 3 28:18 28
5 Trelleborg W 13 6 3 4 22:20 21
6 Enskede W 13 5 3 5 22:19 18
7 Umea W 13 5 3 5 21:19 18
8 Orebro SK W 13 5 3 5 18:20 18
9 Jitex W 13 5 3 5 15:17 18
10 Husqvarna W 13 3 4 6 19:25 13
11 Alingsas W 13 2 5 6 11:20 11
12 Gamla Upsala W 13 2 4 7 16:25 10
13 Sandviken W 13 1 3 9 13:35 6
14 Hacken B W 13 0 1 12 11:30 1
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)