Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elgeco Plus vs Gaborone Utd

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kgamanyane T.
57' Event
Kgaswane R. M.
72' Event
Razafimaro F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Gaborone Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Elgeco Plus
35%
Draws
46%
Gaborone Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gaborone Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaborone Utd come out ahead of Elgeco Plus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Elgeco Plus a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Gaborone Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gaborone Utd, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Elgeco Plus Clean Sheet 16%
Gaborone Utd Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgeco Plus Gaborone Utd
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 4 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.9 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 CAF Confederation Cup
Elgeco Plus vs Gaborone Utd
1:3
Aug 19, 2023 CAF Confederation Cup
Gaborone Utd vs Elgeco Plus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgeco Plus Compare

Top Goalscorer Razafimaro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Gaborone Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kgamanyane T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kgaswane R. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgeco Plus 36 / 100
Gaborone Utd 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgeco Plus Gaborone Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgeco Plus found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Elgeco Plus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gaborone Utd conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gaborone Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgeco Plus

(Home)
27 Sept
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Sept
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
25 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
27 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
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Gaborone Utd

(Away)
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
28 Aug
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
Prisons XI Gaborone
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1
Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bendel 2
ASO Chlef 1
TBD -
Berkane -
FUS Rabat 5
Loto 0
TBD -
USM Alger -
Casa 1
Etoile Filante 1
TBD -
Rivers United -
AS Arta 6
Horseed 0
TBD -
Zamalek -
Fountain Gate 4
JKU 3
TBD -
Modern Sport -
Bahir Dar Kenema 4
Azam 3
TBD -
Club Africain -
Olympique Beja 0
Abu Salim 1
TBD -
Kampala City -
Kakamega Homeboyz 1
Al Hilal Benghazi 4
TBD -
Rayon Sport -
Sekhukhune -
Young Buffaloes -
TBD -
St Eloi Lupopo -
Cano Sport 1
Muza Fc 4
TBD -
Diables Noirs -
Ferroviario Maputo -
Belle Lumiere -
TBD -
Sagrada -
Gaborone Utd 3
Elgeco Plus 2
TBD -
Supersport Utd -
Douane 2
SOAR 2
ASC Kara 1
Academie de FAD 2
Milo FC 2
Dreams FC 3
Douanes Niamey -
Kallon -
Watanga 2
Stade Malien 7
Hay al-Arab -
Aigle Noir -
Haidob Al Nuhod 0
Al Merreikh Juba 1
Academica 4
La Passe 3
Final
Bendel 2
Berkane 3
FUS Rabat 1
USM Alger 1
Etoile Filante 0
Rivers United 2
AS Arta 3
Zamalek 4
Fountain Gate 2
Modern Sport 4
Bahir Dar Kenema 2
Club Africain 3
Abu Salim 5
Kampala City 4
Al Hilal Benghazi 3
Rayon Sport 2
Sekhukhune 4
St Eloi Lupopo 2
Muza Fc 1
Diables Noirs 4
Ferroviario Maputo 1
Sagrada 2
Gaborone Utd 1
Supersport Utd 4
SOAR 3
Academie de FAD 2
Dreams FC 3
Kallon 2
Stade Malien 3
Aigle Noir 3
Al Merreikh Juba 0
Academica 3