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Elgeco Plus vs Marumo Gallants Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mpambaniso M.
21' Event
Ngema C.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Hasinirina O.

AI Match Summary

Marumo Gallants in this CAF Confederation Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Elgeco Plus
35%
Draws
13%
Marumo Gallants
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elgeco Plus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Elgeco Plus at 0.9 per game, Marumo Gallants at 0.72.
  • Elgeco Plus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Marumo Gallants, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elgeco Plus Clean Sheet 20%
Marumo Gallants Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgeco Plus Marumo Gallants
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 4 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 CAF Confederation Cup
Marumo Gallants vs Elgeco Plus
1:0
Oct 9, 2022 CAF Confederation Cup
Elgeco Plus vs Marumo Gallants
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgeco Plus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasinirina O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Marumo Gallants Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpambaniso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nku L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgeco Plus 85 / 100
Marumo Gallants 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgeco Plus Marumo Gallants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgeco Plus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marumo Gallants conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Elgeco Plus scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Elgeco Plus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marumo Gallants
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgeco Plus

(Home)
27 Sept
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Sept
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
25 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
27 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 4

Marumo Gallants

(Away)
20 Sept
Marumo Gallants
0 : 2
Orlando Pirates
12 Sept
AmaZulu
1 : 0
Marumo Gallants
04 Sept
Marumo Gallants
2 : 2
Polokwane City
25 Aug
Marumo Gallants
2 : 3
TS Galaxy
19 Aug
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0
Marumo Gallants
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Kadiogo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Security Systems -
St Eloi Lupopo -
Sagrada -
TBD -
Royal Leopards -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Douanes 0
Real Bamako 1
Hearts of Oak -
TBD -
Mazembe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mbabane Highlanders 0
Royal AM 2
Zesco -
TBD -
Primeiro de Agosto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buffles du Borgou 0
Kallon 4
BUL 0
Modern Sport 1
ASEC Mimosas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberia Registry 1
Sporting Gagnoa 3
Saoura -
TBD -
Djoliba -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FAR Rabat 2
Remo Stars 1
Ashanti GB (SAG) 2
Nouakchott King's 1
Al Ahly Tripoli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamenda 1
Elgeco Plus 2
Marumo Gallants -
TBD -
ASKO Kara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fasil Kenema 3
Bumamuru 1
CS Sfaxien -
TBD -
Young Africans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Hilal 2
Kipanga 3
Club Africain -
TBD -
Flambeau du Centre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Michel United -
Inter Litoral -
Motema Pembe -
TBD -
Rivers United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ASAS 0
Kigali FC 1
Al Nasr -
TBD -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kwara 3
Douanes Niamey 0
Berkane -
TBD -
Cape Town City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Milo FC 2
ASC Kara 4
USM Alger -
TBD -
Nigelec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hilal Alsahil 2
Geita Gold 2
Pyramids -
TBD -
La Passe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sante Abeche 1
Ferroviario Beira 3
Diables Noirs -
TBD -
Plateau United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Akhdar 3
Ahli Khartoum 0
Azam -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Kadiogo -
TBD -
St Eloi Lupopo 2
Sagrada 0
Royal Leopards -
TBD -
Real Bamako 3
Hearts of Oak 1
Mazembe -
TBD -
Royal AM 1
Zesco 1
Primeiro de Agosto -
TBD -
Kallon 0
Modern Sport 6
ASEC Mimosas -
TBD -
Sporting Gagnoa 1
Saoura 0
Djoliba -
TBD -
FAR Rabat 5
Ashanti GB (SAG) 0
Al Ahly Tripoli -
TBD -
Elgeco Plus 1
Marumo Gallants 4
ASKO Kara -
TBD -
Fasil Kenema 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Young Africans -
TBD -
Kipanga 0
Club Africain 7
Flambeau du Centre -
TBD -
St Michel United 0
Motema Pembe 3
Rivers United -
TBD -
Kigali FC 0
Al Nasr 1
Monastir -
TBD -
Kwara 3
Berkane 3
Cape Town City -
TBD -
ASC Kara 1
USM Alger 4
Nigelec -
TBD -
Hilal Alsahil 0
Pyramids 9
La Passe -
TBD -
Ferroviario Beira 2
Diables Noirs 4
Plateau United -
TBD -
Al Akhdar 3
Azam 2
Final
Kadiogo 0
St Eloi Lupopo 2
Royal Leopards 2
Real Bamako 4
Mazembe 3
Royal AM 0
Primeiro de Agosto 2
Modern Sport 3
ASEC Mimosas 5
Sporting Gagnoa 2
Djoliba 0
FAR Rabat 4
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
Marumo Gallants 3
ASKO Kara 2
CS Sfaxien 1
Young Africans 1
Club Africain 0
Flambeau du Centre 1
Motema Pembe 4
Rivers United 6
Al Nasr 1
Monastir 1
Berkane 0
Cape Town City 0
USM Alger 1
Nigelec 1
Pyramids 3
La Passe 2
Diables Noirs 6
Plateau United 4
Al Akhdar 4