Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Elgin City play Dumbarton in the League Two 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Elgin City averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Dumbarton averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Elgin City won 1, Dumbarton won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Elgin City and 1.19 for Dumbarton. This points to a Elgin City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Elgin City picked up more points recently compared to Dumbarton.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgin City | Dumbarton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elgin City Compare
Dumbarton Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elgin City scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Dumbarton let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Elgin City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Dumbarton lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Kilbride | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 77:46 | 69 |
| 2 | Spartans | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60:39 | 64 |
| 3 | Clyde | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 58:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Forfar Athletic | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 51:47 | 50 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:46 | 47 |
| 6 | Elgin City | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 51:55 | 44 |
| 7 | Annan | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47:58 | 41 |
| 8 | Stirling | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 46:63 | 38 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 47:61 | 35 |
| 10 | Edinburgh City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 45:72 | 24 |