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Elgin City vs Edinburgh City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Borough Briggs, Elgin
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elgin City host Edinburgh City in the League Two. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Elgin City at 2.11 goals for, 1.56 against; Edinburgh City at 1.41 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Elgin City have won 4 to Edinburgh City's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward Elgin City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Elgin City
15%
Draws
45%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Elgin City average 2.11 goals a game right now, well clear of Edinburgh City's 1.41.
  • Elgin City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elgin City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 15%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Edinburgh City
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.11 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
0:5
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
0:3
Feb 24, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Edinburgh City
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 84 / 100
Edinburgh City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Edinburgh City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Elgin City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Edinburgh City
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2
Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0
Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
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Edinburgh City

(Away)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)