Sport Picks
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
League Two Borough Briggs, Elgin 
Match Events
14'
14'
Mailer A.
18'
18'
Girvan K.
Assist: MacIver J.
38'
38'
Lynas A.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Elgin City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Elgin City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 20%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgin City | Forfar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
1:2
Aug 8, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
2:0
Dec 27, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elgin City Compare
Top Goalscorer Girvan K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Forfar Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Shepherd S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgin City 76 / 100
Forfar Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgin City Forfar Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Forfar Athletic has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Forfar Athletic lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Elgin City's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Elgin City VS Forfar Athletic
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgin City
(Home) 24 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 2 Elgin City
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1 Aberdeen B
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2 Elgin City
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1 Aberdeen B
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
Page 1 of 3
Forfar Athletic
(Away) 24 Oct
Boness United
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
Ross County
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2 Elgin City
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Boness United
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
17 Oct
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
13 Oct
Ross County
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1 Forfar Athletic
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1 Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25:9 | 23 |
| 2 | Clyde | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:18 | 23 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:17 | 18 |
| 4 | Spartans | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16:21 | 15 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 7 | Stirling | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Forfar Athletic | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:19 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
