Sport Picks

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Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic

Scotland Scotland

League Two Borough Briggs, Elgin
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Mailer A.
18' Event
Girvan K.
Assist: MacIver J.
38'
Lynas A.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Elgin City
30%
Draws
23%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Elgin City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Elgin City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 18%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 League Two
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
2:0
Dec 27, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
4:2
Oct 4, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Girvan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Shepherd S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 76 / 100
Forfar Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elgin City scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Forfar Athletic let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Elgin City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Forfar Athletic
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
29 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 0
Stirling
25 Aug
Clachnacuddin
0 : 2
Elgin City
22 Aug
Spartans
3 : 3
Elgin City
15 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 1
Kelty Hearts
11 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 2
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
22 Aug
Clyde
3 : 0
Forfar Athletic
15 Aug
Forfar Athletic
3 : 0
Stirling
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Aberdeen B
08 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 5 3 2 0 17:5 11
2 Clyde 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
3 Forfar Athletic 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
4 Stranraer 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Spartans 5 1 3 1 12:11 6
6 Annan 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
7 Kelty Hearts 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
8 Stirling 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
9 Edinburgh City 5 2 2 1 7:8 3
10 Dumbarton 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)