Sport Picks
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Borough Briggs, Elgin 
Match Events
14'
14'
Willox K.
Assist: Grant M.
21'
21'
Murray J.
(Penalty)
33'
33'
Gallagher M.
Assist: Scullion L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 7-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elgin City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Fraserburgh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Elgin City a 42% chance of winning this.
- Fraserburgh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Elgin City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 17%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgin City | Fraserburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh
7:0
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh
4:1
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh
2:0
Oct 29, 2011 Scottish Cup
Elgin City vs Fraserburgh
5:2
Oct 22, 2011 Scottish Cup
Fraserburgh vs Elgin City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elgin City Compare
Top Goalscorer Willox K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gallagher M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Fraserburgh Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgin City 41 / 100
Fraserburgh 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgin City Fraserburgh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Elgin City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Fraserburgh has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Elgin City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Elgin City VS Fraserburgh
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgin City
(Home) 24 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 2 Elgin City
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1 Aberdeen B
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2 Elgin City
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1 Aberdeen B
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
Page 1 of 3
Fraserburgh
(Away) 24 Oct
Nairn County
2 : 2 Fraserburgh
17 Oct
Fraserburgh
1 : 1 Brora Rangers
13 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 3 Dundee FC B
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3 Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Nairn County
2 : 2 Fraserburgh
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3 Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0 Fraserburgh
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3 Fraserburgh
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0 Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ross County | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:13 | 13 |
| 7 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Elgin City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 9 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 11 | Montrose | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Celtic B | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 14 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 16 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 18 | Berwick | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 19 | Annan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 20 | Formartine Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 21 | Spartans | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 22 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 23 | Hearts B | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 9 |
| 24 | Stranraer | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:15 | 7 |
| 25 | East Fife | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 26 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 27 | Banks O' Dee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 28 | Dumbarton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 29 | Rangers B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 30 | Clyde | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 31 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 5 |
| 32 | Cumbernauld Colts | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 33 | Clachnacuddin | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 4 |
| 34 | Fraserburgh | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 4 |
| 35 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 36 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 37 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:17 | 2 |
| 38 | Hibernian B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:14 | 1 |
| 39 | Cowdenbeath | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:20 | 0 |
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