Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elgin City vs Ross County

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Borough Briggs, Elgin
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Colloty O.
Assist: Grant M.
40' Event
Chin R.
Assist: Randall C.
90' Event
Emslie A.
Assist: Lindsay J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Elgin City
15%
Draws
67%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Ross County have won more games recently than Elgin City.
  • Win probability leans Ross County's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Ross County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ross County, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ross County here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%
Ross County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Ross County
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Ross County
1:2
Jul 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Elgin City vs Ross County
0:5
Nov 10, 2020 League Cup
Elgin City vs Ross County
1:4
Jul 14, 2018 League Cup
Ross County vs Elgin City
2:0
Jul 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Elgin City vs Ross County
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Colloty O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ross County Compare

Top Goalscorer Chin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emslie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 10 / 100
Ross County 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Ross County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elgin City scored in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ross County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Elgin City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Ross County
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
11 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 2
Ross County
08 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
01 Aug
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Elgin City
25 Jul
Hamilton
5 : 0
Elgin City
18 Jul
Elgin City
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 7

Ross County

(Away)
11 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 2
Ross County
08 Aug
Ross County
2 : 1
Montrose
01 Aug
Peterhead
0 : 1
Ross County
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
21 Jul
Ross County
2 : 1
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clachnacuddin 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Peterhead 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Rangers B 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Queen of the South 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Clydebank FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
6 St. Mirren B 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
7 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
8 Aberdeen B 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
9 East Kilbride 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
10 Stirling 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
11 Airdrieonians 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
12 Celtic B 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
13 Edinburgh City 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
14 Montrose 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
15 Hearts B 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
16 Kelty Hearts 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
17 Ross County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
18 Alloa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
19 Bonnyrigg Rose 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
20 Spartans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
21 East Fife 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
22 Motherwell B 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
23 Berwick 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
24 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Elgin City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Annan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Kilmarnock B 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
28 Cove Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
29 Cowdenbeath 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
30 Hamilton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
31 Dumbarton 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
32 Fraserburgh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
33 Dundee FC B 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Clyde 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
35 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
36 Banks O' Dee 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
38 Cumbernauld Colts 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
39 Hibernian B 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
40 Dundee Utd B 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)