Sport Picks
Elgin City vs Ross County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup Borough Briggs, Elgin 
Match Events
17'
17'
Colloty O.
Assist: Grant M.
40'
40'
Chin R.
Assist: Randall C.
90'
90'
Emslie A.
Assist: Lindsay J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ross County have won more games recently than Elgin City.
- Win probability leans Ross County's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ross County arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ross County, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ross County here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%
Ross County Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgin City | Ross County |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 22 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 3.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Ross County
1:2
Jul 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Elgin City vs Ross County
0:5
Nov 10, 2020 League Cup
Elgin City vs Ross County
1:4
Jul 14, 2018 League Cup
Ross County vs Elgin City
2:0
Jul 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Elgin City vs Ross County
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elgin City Compare
Top Goalscorer Colloty O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Ross County Compare
Top Goalscorer Chin R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Emslie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgin City 10 / 100
Ross County 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgin City Ross County
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ross County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Elgin City scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Ross County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.
Solid form: Elgin City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Elgin City VS Ross County
2.25 Goals Scored 4.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgin City
(Home) 03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0 Elgin City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0 Fraserburgh
29 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 0 Stirling
Page 1 of 3
Ross County
(Away) 03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1 Alloa
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0 Hearts B
22 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 5 Ross County
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2 Ross County
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0 Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 5 Ross County
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2 Ross County
05 Sept
East Fife
2 : 2 Ross County
22 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3 Ross County
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2 Ross County
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
