Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Beasain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elgoibar haven't matched Beasain's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Beasain's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 19%
Beasain Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgoibar | Beasain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Elgoibar
2:1
Dec 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Beasain
1:0
Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Beasain
0:0
Sep 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Elgoibar
1:1
Mar 17, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs Elgoibar
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgoibar 20 / 100
Beasain 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgoibar Beasain
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Beasain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beasain let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Elgoibar scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
Elgoibar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Beasain
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgoibar
(Home) 15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0 Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1 Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
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15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
05 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Leioa
15 Mar
Elgoibar
2 : 1 Amurrio Club
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Beasain
(Away) 19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0 Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3 Valle Egues
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19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0 Beasain
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0 Beasain
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2 Beasain
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0 Beasain
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0 Beasain
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laudio | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 65:29 | 81 |
| 2 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 54:24 | 78 |
| 3 | Portugalete | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 75:38 | 73 |
| 4 | Leioa | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 43:28 | 71 |
| 5 | Gernika Club | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 51:36 | 67 |
| 7 | Bermeo | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 39:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Zamudio | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 41:52 | 47 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 36:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Basconia | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 15 | Elgoibar | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 17 | Balmaseda | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:49 | 39 |
| 19 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Anaitasuna FT | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 35:61 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
