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Ellerton FC vs Bagatelle SSC

Barbados Barbados

Premier League 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2011 game between Ellerton FC and Bagatelle SSC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bagatelle SSC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ellerton FC
6%
Draws
4%
Bagatelle SSC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ellerton FC come out ahead of Bagatelle SSC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ellerton FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 19%
Bagatelle SSC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC Bagatelle SSC
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 23 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Bagatelle SSC
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Bagatelle SSC
1:0
May 19, 2011 Premier League
Bagatelle SSC vs Ellerton FC
1:0
Mar 11, 2011 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Bagatelle SSC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 85 / 100
Bagatelle SSC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC Bagatelle SSC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (39 games).

Bagatelle SSC has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ellerton FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS Bagatelle SSC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellerton FC

(Home)
28 May
Brittons Hill United
1 : 2
Ellerton FC
20 May
Ellerton FC
2 : 1
Paradise SC
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
04 May
Ellerton FC
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
27 Apr
Ellerton FC
1 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
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Bagatelle SSC

(Away)
27 May
Wotton
2 : 3
Bagatelle SSC
19 May
Bagatelle SSC
0 : 1
Pride of Gall Hill
10 May
UWI Blackbirds
2 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
06 May
Bagatelle SSC
0 : 1
Kickstart
27 Apr
Ellerton FC
1 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
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