Sport Picks
Ellidi vs Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland
Icelandic Cup 2017 
Match Events
1'
1'
Sigurjonsson S.
4'
4'
Gudmundsson D.
81'
81'
Ingvarsson I. R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-6, with Kormakur/Hvot advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellidi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kormakur/Hvot come out ahead of Ellidi on wins alone.
- Ellidi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kormakur/Hvot arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kormakur/Hvot, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ellidi Clean Sheet 10%
Kormakur/Hvot Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ellidi | Kormakur/Hvot |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.91 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Ellidi vs Kormakur/Hvot
3:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ellidi Compare
Top Goalscorer Sigurjonsson S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gudmundsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Kormakur/Hvot Compare
Top Goalscorer Vignisson O.
3 Goals Assists Leader Aadnegard S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ellidi 83 / 100
Kormakur/Hvot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ellidi Kormakur/Hvot
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ellidi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kormakur/Hvot let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 9.00 goals.
Ellidi scored in 65% of their last 23 games.
Difficult form: Kormakur/Hvot registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kormakur/Hvot
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ellidi
(Home) 28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
KFK Kopavogur
1 : 5 Ellidi
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 5
28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
19 Jul
Ellidi
1 : 4 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Kormakur/Hvot
(Away) 29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3 KFA
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2 Haukar
15 Aug
Magni
3 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
09 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 0 Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
15 Aug
Magni
3 : 0 Kormakur/Hvot
29 Jul
Kari
1 : 1 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Jul
Fjolnir
1 : 1 Kormakur/Hvot
20 Jun
KFA
2 : 2 Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 7
Snaefell 1
KV Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 2
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Stal-Ulfur 1
Njardvik 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reynir 7
Kordrengir 1
TBD -
Haukar -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 6
Alftanes 1
Vestri 0
Ymir 2
Aegir 3
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nokkvi 7
UMF Geisli 1
TBD -
Magni -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 0
SR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Huginn -
TBD -
Hottur 4
Sindri 5
Kari 6
Lettir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Augnablik 6
Kormakur/Hvot 6
Ellidi 3
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 4
Midas 1
TBD -
Keflavik -
Hamar 4
KFS 1
KB Breidholt 1
Arborg 5
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
Ulfarnir 1
TBD -
Fylkir -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
Fram -
Berserkir 3
Skallagrimur 1
Gnupverjar 1
KFR 2
KFG Gardabaer 4
Vaengirs 1
Afturelding 0
Grotta 1
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 4
Drangley 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Throttur -
TBD -
Kongarnir 1
Afrika Reykjavik 3
Stokkseyri 1
Kria 0
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
GG Grindavik 0
Throttur Vogar 3
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
IR Reykjavik 2
Njardvik 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Leiknir Faskruds 2
Fjardabyggd 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Reynir 0
Haukar 4
Thor Akureyri 2
Tindastoll 1
Alftanes 0
Aegir 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Nokkvi 1
Magni 5
KH Hlidarendi 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Huginn 1
Sindri 4
Kari 3
Augnablik 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Selfoss 8
Vidir 1
Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Arborg 1
Breidablik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 0
Fylkir 7
Akranes -
TBD -
Kopavogur 0
Fram 1
Berserkir 3
KFR 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Grotta 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Volsungur 2
Throttur 11
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stokkseyri 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Olafsvik 0
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Leiknir Faskruds 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Haukar 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 2
Magni 1
KH Hlidarendi 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Hafnarfjordur 6
Sindri 1
Kari 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 1
Arborg 0
Breidablik 0
Fylkir 1
Akranes 4
Fram 3
Berserkir 1
Grotta 4
Grindavik 7
Volsungur 1
Throttur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 2
Valur 1
IR Reykjavik 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Aegir 1
Fjolnir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 1
Vidir 0
Fylkir 5
Akranes 2
Grotta 1
Grindavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
Akranes 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Final
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
