Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
Jonsson O.
80'
80'
Erlendsson S.
120'
120'
Olafs T.
AI Match Summary
Midas in this Icelandic Cup 2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellidi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ellidi lately — more wins on the board than Midas.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Ellidi taking it.
- Ellidi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Midas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ellidi Clean Sheet 10%
Midas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ellidi | Midas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 13 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.91 | 3.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.72 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Ellidi vs Midas
1:2
Apr 13, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Midas vs Ellidi
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ellidi Compare
Top Goalscorer Erlendsson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.09
Avg xA / game 1.36
Midas Compare
Top Goalscorer Jonsson O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olafs T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ellidi 83 / 100
Midas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ellidi Midas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ellidi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Midas conceded in 92% of 13 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Ellidi's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Midas lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ellidi VS Midas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
4.13 Goals Conceded 3.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Ellidi
(Home) 28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
28 Mar
KFK Kopavogur
1 : 5 Ellidi
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
Page 1 of 5
28 Mar
Ellidi
0 : 2 Grindavik
21 Mar
Ellidi
9 : 0 Reynir Hellissandur
03 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 3 Haukar
04 Apr
Ellidi
0 : 3 Olafsvik
19 Jul
Ellidi
1 : 4 Kari
Page 1 of 4
Midas
(Away) 04 Apr
Midas
1 : 3 RB Keflavik
23 Apr
Midas
0 : 12 Augnablik
12 Jun
Midas
0 : 4 SR Reykjavik
06 Jun
Midas
4 : 1 KM Reykjavik
01 May
Volsungur
4 : 0 Midas
Page 1 of 3
01 May
Volsungur
4 : 0 Midas
18 Apr
Ellidi
1 : 2 Midas
22 Apr
Vidir
4 : 1 Midas
30 Apr
Vaengirs
1 : 0 Midas
03 May
Njardvik
8 : 0 Midas
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 5
SR Reykjavik 0
Skallagrimur 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
KA Asvellir 2
Kria 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Berserkir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 8
Arborg 1
Bjorninn 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 1
Vidir 0
Hamar 1
Kari 5
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 1
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 6
Lettir 0
Throttur Vogar 0
Selfoss 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 4
Nokkvi 2
TBD -
Magni -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Einherji 1
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 1
Reynir 2
KB Breidholt 2
Snaefell 1
Fenrir 0
Aegir 2
Grotta 8
Alftanes 2
KH Hlidarendi 0
KFR 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Samherjar 0
Dalvik/Reynir 6
Midas 1
Isbjorninn 0
Alafoss 1
Ellidi 8
Tindastoll 5
Aeskan 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Keflavik -
TBD -
KFS 2
Haukar 5
Vaengirs 9
Kongarnir 0
KM Reykjavik 0
Kordrengir 7
Fram 2
GG Grindavik 1
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Ymir 6
Hviti 5
Kormakur/Hvot 1
TBD -
Njardvik -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
IR Reykjavik 3
KV Reykjavik 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 4
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 5
KA Asvellir 4
Berserkir 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 3
Kari 1
Olafsvik 2
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 3
Selfoss 2
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 4
Fjardabyggd 2
Hottur / Huginn 0
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur 2
Reynir 0
KB Breidholt 1
Aegir 2
Grotta 10
KFR 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 2
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Midas 2
Ellidi 1
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 3
Keflavik 1
Haukar 0
Vaengirs 0
Kordrengir 1
Fram 6
Ymir 0
Hviti 0
Njardvik 6
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 3
KA Akureyri 5
Sindri 0
KA Asvellir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Valur 1
Augnablik 0
Akranes 3
Vestri 2
Ulfarnir 1
Afturelding 1
Grindavik 4
Breidablik 10
Magni 1
Fjardabyggd 1
Kopavogur 5
Throttur 4
Aegir 0
Grotta 1
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 5
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Midas 0
Volsungur 4
Keflavik 1
Kordrengir 0
Fram 1
Njardvik 3
1/8-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Akranes 1
Vestri 1
Grindavik 3
Breidablik 3
Kopavogur 1
Throttur 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Volsungur 0
Keflavik 0
Njardvik 1
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 7
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 4
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 3
Njardvik 0
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Breidablik 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
