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Ellopiakos vs Chaidari

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Ellopiakos Logo

Ellopiakos

1 - 0
FT
Chaidari Logo

Chaidari

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ellopiakos
30%
Draws
31%
Chaidari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ellopiakos lately — more wins on the board than Chaidari.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 20%
Chaidari Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellopiakos Chaidari
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Chaidari
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Chaidari vs Ellopiakos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 32 / 100
Chaidari 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellopiakos Chaidari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaidari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaidari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ellopiakos scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Ellopiakos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chaidari
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellopiakos

(Home)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Chaidari

(Away)
08 Apr
Agias Marinas
1 : 1
Chaidari
05 Apr
Chaidari
3 : 1
Atsalenios FC
01 Apr
Giouchtas
1 : 1
Chaidari
28 Mar
AO Ilisiakos
2 : 0
Chaidari
22 Mar
Chaidari
3 : 1
Aias
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)