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Ellopiakos vs Ethnikos Piraeus

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Ellopiakos and Ethnikos Piraeus finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ellopiakos
20%
Draws
23%
Ethnikos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethnikos Piraeus come out ahead of Ellopiakos on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 16%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellopiakos Ethnikos Piraeus
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 12 29
Draws 9 15
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:4
Oct 4, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Ellopiakos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellopiakos 30 / 100
Ethnikos Piraeus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellopiakos Ethnikos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellopiakos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ellopiakos's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ellopiakos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ethnikos Piraeus lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ethnikos Piraeus
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellopiakos

(Home)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Piraeus

(Away)
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
0 : 1
Zakynthos
29 Apr
Pyrgos
0 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)