Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elman vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dekedda in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Elman
28%
Draws
22%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dekedda lately — more wins on the board than Elman.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Elman taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elman Clean Sheet 14%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Dekedda
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:2
May 15, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:3
Jan 31, 2025 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 48 / 100
Dekedda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elman's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dekedda has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Elman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Dekedda
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Dekedda

(Away)
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
06 Jul
Raadsan
3 : 6
Dekedda
30 Jun
Dekedda
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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