Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elman vs Dekedda

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

0 - 1
FT
Dekedda Logo

Dekedda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dekedda in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dekedda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Elman
15%
Draws
58%
Dekedda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dekedda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dekedda lately — more wins on the board than Elman.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Dekedda taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elman Clean Sheet 14%
Dekedda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Dekedda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.73 2.09
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:2
May 15, 2025 National league
Dekedda vs Elman
1:3
Jan 31, 2025 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 National league
Elman vs Dekedda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 10 / 100
Dekedda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Dekedda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dekedda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elman's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dekedda has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Elman went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Dekedda
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Dekedda

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)