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Elman vs Gantaalaha Afgooye

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

5 - 0
FT
Gantaalaha Afgooye Logo

Gantaalaha Afgooye

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Elman and Gantaalaha Afgooye finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Elman
15%
Draws
28%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elman come out ahead of Gantaalaha Afgooye on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Elman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Elman Clean Sheet 20%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Gantaalaha Afgooye
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 16 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.8 4.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Elman
0:2
May 7, 2026 National league
Elman vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 85 / 100
Gantaalaha Afgooye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Gantaalaha Afgooye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gantaalaha Afgooye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Elman's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gantaalaha Afgooye's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Gantaalaha Afgooye
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
09 Aug
Dekedda
5 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)