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Elman vs Gantaalaha Afgooye

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Elman and Gantaalaha Afgooye finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elman
6%
Draws
4%
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elman come out ahead of Gantaalaha Afgooye on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Elman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Elman Clean Sheet 20%
Gantaalaha Afgooye Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Gantaalaha Afgooye
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 National league
Gantaalaha Afgooye vs Elman
0:2
May 7, 2026 National league
Elman vs Gantaalaha Afgooye
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 85 / 100
Gantaalaha Afgooye 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Gantaalaha Afgooye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gantaalaha Afgooye's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 18 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Elman's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Elman stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Gantaalaha Afgooye
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Gantaalaha Afgooye

(Away)
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
09 Jul
Jeenyo
3 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
01 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
1 : 3
Heegan
24 Jun
Gaadiidka
3 : 3
Gantaalaha Afgooye
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado20721141:3523
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye18111618:864
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