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Elman vs Heegan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Elman Logo

Elman

0 - 2
FT
Heegan Logo

Heegan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heegan in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Elman
15%
Draws
53%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Elman haven't matched Heegan's recent run of results.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Elman Clean Sheet 12%
Heegan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Heegan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.73 2.34
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Elman
2:1
May 17, 2026 National league
Elman vs Heegan
0:2
Apr 7, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Elman
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 National league
Elman vs Heegan
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 National league
Elman vs Heegan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 35 / 100
Heegan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elman found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Heegan conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Elman stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Heegan
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Heegan

(Away)
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)