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Elman vs Jeenyo

Somalia Somalia

National league
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elman host Jeenyo in the National league. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Jeenyo have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Elman have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Elman have won 4 to Jeenyo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Elman. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Elman
20%
Draws
38%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elman lately — more wins on the board than Jeenyo.
  • Win probability leans Elman's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elman have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Elman Clean Sheet 20%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Jeenyo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Elman
0:1
May 31, 2025 National league
Elman vs Jeenyo
2:0
Feb 13, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Elman
0:2
Jul 8, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Elman
4:2
Apr 24, 2024 National league
Elman vs Jeenyo
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 42 / 100
Jeenyo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeenyo let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Elman scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Elman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Jeenyo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
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Jeenyo

(Away)
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
09 Jul
Jeenyo
3 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)