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Elman vs Jeenyo

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jeenyo in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeenyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Elman
20%
Draws
46%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeenyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elman lately — more wins on the board than Jeenyo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Elman Clean Sheet 20%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elman Jeenyo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 National league
Elman vs Jeenyo
0:1
May 22, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Elman
0:1
May 31, 2025 National league
Elman vs Jeenyo
2:0
Feb 13, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Elman
0:2
Jul 8, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Elman
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elman 32 / 100
Jeenyo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elman Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeenyo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeenyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Elman scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Elman went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elman VS Jeenyo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elman

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Jeenyo

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)