Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elmshorn vs Rugenbergen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015
Fri, Feb 20, 2015
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elmshorn host Rugenbergen in the Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015. Rugenbergen go into this one as the clear favorite. Rugenbergen have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Elmshorn have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Elmshorn have won 1 to Rugenbergen's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2015, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.18, favoring Rugenbergen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Elmshorn
33%
Draws
27%
Rugenbergen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Elmshorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rugenbergen have won more games recently than Elmshorn.
  • Win probability leans Elmshorn's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elmshorn Clean Sheet 20%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elmshorn Rugenbergen
Matches Played 15 43
Wins 0 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2015 Oberliga Hamburg
Elmshorn vs Rugenbergen
0:0
Aug 23, 2014 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Elmshorn
5:1
Feb 15, 2014 Oberliga Hamburg
Elmshorn vs Rugenbergen
0:3
Aug 16, 2013 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Elmshorn
4:1
Apr 9, 2013 Oberliga Hamburg
Elmshorn vs Rugenbergen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elmshorn 40 / 100
Rugenbergen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elmshorn Rugenbergen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Rugenbergen has conceded goals in 74% of their last 43 outings.

Elmshorn scored in 53% of their last 15 games.

Elmshorn has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rugenbergen
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elmshorn

(Home)
05 Dec
Elmshorn
0 : 2
Niendorfer TSV
30 Nov
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1
Elmshorn
22 Nov
Meiendorfer SV
3 : 1
Elmshorn
14 Nov
Elmshorn
0 : 4
Paloma
07 Nov
Elmshorn
0 : 1
Halstenbek-Rellingen
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Rugenbergen

(Away)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
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