Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elnesvagen vs Herd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 9 2012 game between Elnesvagen and Herd finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elnesvagen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Elnesvagen
15%
Draws
36%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elnesvagen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elnesvagen come out ahead of Herd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Herd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 9 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Elnesvagen Clean Sheet 10%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elnesvagen Herd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.2 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Elnesvagen vs Herd
3:4
May 18, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Herd vs Elnesvagen
1:1
Sep 29, 2012 Division 3 - Group 9
Herd vs Elnesvagen
1:4
Jun 8, 2012 Division 3 - Group 9
Elnesvagen vs Herd
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elnesvagen 10 / 100
Herd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elnesvagen Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elnesvagen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Herd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Herd registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elnesvagen VS Herd
0 Goals Scored 2.25
7 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elnesvagen

(Home)
13 Apr
Elnesvagen
0 : 7
Molde
19 Oct
Spjelkavik
3 : 0
Elnesvagen
12 Oct
Elnesvagen
4 : 2
Stranda
05 Oct
Sunndal
3 : 2
Elnesvagen
28 Sept
Elnesvagen
1 : 1
Surnadal
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Herd

(Away)
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
31 Jul
Herd
0 : 1
Volda
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