Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elosport U20 vs Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Toti
67' Event
Lima E.
90' Event
Ruan

AI Match Summary

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 in this Paulista U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial FC - Tiete U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Elosport U20
6%
Draws
90%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comercial FC - Tiete U20 lately — more wins on the board than Elosport U20.
  • Comercial FC - Tiete U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elosport U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elosport U20 Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 0
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Paulista U20
Elosport U20 vs Comercial FC - Tiete U20
0:3
Apr 12, 2024 Paulista U20
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 vs Elosport U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elosport U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Toti
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elosport U20 10 / 100
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elosport U20 Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Comercial FC - Tiete U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Elosport U20 scored in 47% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Comercial FC - Tiete U20
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mirassol U201091033:528
2Jose Bonifacio EC U201081124:725
3Olimpia FC U20104159:1813
4Tanabi U201040612:1712
5Rio Preto EC U20102089:236
6Fernandopolis U20101185:224
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino U201091037:528
2Gremio Prudente U201071217:922
3Marilia AC U201051419:1316
4Presidente Prudente U201041515:2113
5Vocem U201012710:235
6Tupa U20100288:352
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo SP U201072143:823
2Sertaozinho U201061317:1719
3Comercial U201035226:2014
4Bandeirante U201032513:2111
5Francana U201031620:2810
6Inter de Bebedouro U201021714:397
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Velo Clube U201081122:525
2Ferroviaria U201062234:520
3XV de Jau U201053227:618
4Rio Claro U201042415:1414
5Sao Carlos U20101277:295
6CA Taquaritinga U20101092:483
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao U201054114:619
2Internacional de Limeira U201045118:1617
3Piracicaba U201051418:1216
4Cosmopolitano Sports U201043310:815
5Rio Branco EC U201031613:1610
6Independente SP U20101279:245
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ponte Preta U201071220:822
2Aguai U201052311:617
3Brasilis U201051415:2016
4Itapirense U201040613:2112
5Porto Football U201033415:1112
6Guacuano U201021711:197
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ituano U201071225:1322
2Desportivo U201070325:1021
3Sao Bento U201061315:1119
4Sfera U201052325:1417
5Comercial FC - Tiete U201030711:199
6Elosport U201000104:380
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Suzano U201072116:623
2Taubate U201053222:1518
3Pinda U201042424:1214
4Sao Jose EC U201035216:1114
5CA Joseense U201033421:2112
6Uniao Mogi U20100194:381
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U201071223:822
2Guarani U201063122:821
3SKA Brasil U201044214:1116
4Capivariano U201042418:2014
5Paulinia FU U201013612:276
6Metropolitano FC U20101186:214
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo U2010100038:430
2Referencia U201052318:1917
3Osasco Sporting U201051418:1016
4Osasco Audax U20102269:198
5GE Osasco U201022621:338
6Clube Vital U201021710:297
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U201091044:228
2Ibrachina U201071224:1122
3Portuguesa U201042413:1714
4Flamengo SP U20103168:2110
5Nacional SP U201024411:1310
6Guarulhos U20100195:411
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians U201072118:423
2Sao Caetano U201072112:423
3Agua Santa U201032511:1511
4Aster Itaqua U20103255:1111
5EC Sao Bernardo U20102357:109
6CA Juventus U20101366:156
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santos U201081138:425
2Santo Andre U201071218:1622
3Portuguesa Santista U201052319:2017
4Maua FC U201050515:1515
5Jabaquara U20101369:186
6Mauaense U20100199:351