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Elosport vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Elosport
30%
Draws
58%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primavera EC lately — more wins on the board than Elosport.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Primavera EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Elosport Clean Sheet 18%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elosport Primavera EC
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.94 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2018 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Primavera EC
1:0
Apr 14, 2018 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs Elosport
1:1
Jun 18, 2017 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Primavera EC
0:0
Apr 29, 2017 Paulista A4
Primavera EC vs Elosport
0:2
Jun 1, 2014 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Primavera EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elosport 10 / 100
Primavera EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elosport Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primavera EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Elosport found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Elosport has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera EC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elosport

(Home)
14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2
Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2
Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2
Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2
Elosport
Page 1 of 7

Primavera EC

(Away)
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
16 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 2
Primavera EC
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Juventus-SP
02 Aug
Juventus-SP
0 : 1
Primavera EC
25 Jul
Primavera EC
2 : 0
Osasco Sporting
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vocem 12 9 2 1 16:4 29
2 Osvaldo Cruz 12 6 3 3 18:11 21
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 4 3 9:8 19
4 America SP 12 5 4 3 16:11 19
5 Gremio Prudente 12 4 4 4 21:12 16
6 Presidente Prudente 12 2 4 6 12:19 10
7 Assisense 12 0 1 11 7:34 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 12 8 1 3 29:14 25
2 Brasilis 12 5 4 3 20:12 19
3 Francana 12 5 4 3 16:12 19
4 Taquaritinga 12 5 3 4 16:17 18
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
6 Amparo SP 12 2 4 6 11:22 10
7 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 15:28 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primavera EC 14 9 3 2 20:6 30
2 EC Sao Bernardo 14 9 2 3 26:13 29
3 SKA Brasil 14 7 3 4 22:17 24
4 AA Itarare 14 5 6 3 28:16 21
5 Elosport 14 4 5 5 21:16 17
6 Guarulhos 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
7 Diadema 14 2 2 10 12:38 8
8 Barcelona SP 14 1 5 8 15:35 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
2 Manthiqueira 12 8 1 3 24:16 25
3 Mauaense 12 7 2 3 23:11 23
4 Uniao Mogi 12 4 4 4 15:9 16
5 Atletico Real Cubatense 12 3 3 6 12:20 12
6 Jabaquara 12 2 5 5 12:16 11
7 Atletico Mogi 12 1 1 10 6:30 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)