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Eltham Redbacks vs Langwarrin

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Webb A.
53' Event
Kindler B.
Own Goal
88' Event
Diamond F.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between Eltham Redbacks and Langwarrin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eltham Redbacks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eltham Redbacks
6%
Draws
4%
Langwarrin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eltham Redbacks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Langwarrin have managed 2.38 goals a game lately — Eltham Redbacks are scoring more at 2.5.
  • Win probability leans Eltham Redbacks's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 10%
Langwarrin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltham Redbacks Langwarrin
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs Eltham Redbacks
1:6
Mar 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Langwarrin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eltham Redbacks Compare

Top Goalscorer Diamond F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Langwarrin Compare

Top Goalscorer Webb A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltham Redbacks 83 / 100
Langwarrin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltham Redbacks Langwarrin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eltham Redbacks's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Langwarrin has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Eltham Redbacks stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eltham Redbacks VS Langwarrin
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltham Redbacks

(Home)
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0
Eltham Redbacks
24 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
0 : 2
Melbourne Srbija
18 Jul
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 1
Eltham Redbacks
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
04 Jul
Langwarrin
1 : 6
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 5

Langwarrin

(Away)
01 Aug
Langwarrin
3 : 4
Brunswick City
27 Jul
Bulleen
3 : 1
Langwarrin
18 Jul
Langwarrin
0 : 1
Brunswick Juventus
10 Jul
Langwarrin
3 : 3
Melbourne Victory U21
04 Jul
Langwarrin
1 : 6
Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 23 16 2 5 46:19 50
2 Northcote City 23 14 4 5 41:24 46
3 Brunswick Juventus 23 15 1 7 44:30 46
4 Melbourne Victory U21 23 12 4 7 52:35 40
5 Bulleen 23 11 6 6 44:30 39
6 Eltham Redbacks 23 9 5 9 49:39 32
7 Melbourne Srbija 22 10 2 10 26:24 32
8 Brunswick City 23 9 3 11 45:47 30
9 Manningham United Blues 23 9 3 11 38:47 30
10 North Geelong Warriors 22 9 1 12 33:46 28
11 Western United U21 23 8 1 14 46:63 25
12 Langwarrin 23 6 5 12 40:53 23
13 North Sunshine Eagles 23 5 5 13 29:38 20
14 Port Melbourne Sharks 23 4 4 15 13:51 16
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)