Sport Picks
Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory U21
Australia
Victoria Premier League 
Match Events
35'
35'
Dennett J.
45'
45'
Bresolin D.
52'
52'
Dragicevic O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbourne Victory U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Melbourne Victory U21 lately — more wins on the board than Eltham Redbacks.
- Melbourne Victory U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Melbourne Victory U21 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 14%
Melbourne Victory U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eltham Redbacks | Melbourne Victory U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs Eltham Redbacks
2:0
May 22, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory U21
3:3
Feb 16, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs Eltham Redbacks
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eltham Redbacks Compare
Top Goalscorer Dennett J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bresolin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Melbourne Victory U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Dragicevic O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olukhale M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eltham Redbacks 23 / 100
Melbourne Victory U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eltham Redbacks Melbourne Victory U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Melbourne Victory U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eltham Redbacks scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Defensive concern: Melbourne Victory U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Eltham Redbacks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Eltham Redbacks VS Melbourne Victory U21
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Eltham Redbacks
(Home) 11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0 Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2 Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2 Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0 Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0 Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2 Melbourne Knights
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0 Manningham United Blues
24 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
0 : 2 Melbourne Srbija
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1 North Geelong Warriors
19 Jun
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 4 Western United U21
Page 1 of 3
Melbourne Victory U21
(Away) 19 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
1 : 2 Northcote City
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0 Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
4 : 0 Port Melbourne Sharks
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
17 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
0 : 1 Northcote City
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
18 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory U21
10 Jul
Langwarrin
3 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
05 Jul
Western United U21
3 : 2 Melbourne Victory U21
13 Jun
Bulleen
2 : 4 Melbourne Victory U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 43:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 42:26 | 47 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 55:32 | 43 |
| 4 | Northcote City | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Bulleen | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 44:30 | 42 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 53:37 | 36 |
| 7 | Melbourne Srbija | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 32:48 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 40:49 | 27 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 40:52 | 24 |
| 12 | North Sunshine Eagles | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | 20 |
| 13 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12:55 | 16 |
| 14 | Western United U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)
