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Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elva host Flora Tallinn U21 in the Esiliiga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Elva at 2.1 goals for, 1.41 against; Flora Tallinn U21 at 2.18 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Flora Tallinn U21 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.06, favoring Elva. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Elva
15%
Draws
32%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elva lately — more wins on the board than Flora Tallinn U21.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Flora Tallinn U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.1 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:3
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:0
Jul 12, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
2:0
May 29, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Elva
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 24 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Flora Tallinn U21 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Elva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS Flora Tallinn U21
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0
Elva
12 Aug
Elva
:
Raasiku Joker
08 Aug
Elva
2 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
01 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 2
Elva
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
Page 1 of 6

Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
15 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 0
Kalju U21
01 Aug
FC Tallinn
1 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
25 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
22 Jul
Narva
1 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 23 15 3 5 66:31 48
2 Viimsi JK 23 12 5 6 42:22 41
3 Flora Tallinn U21 23 11 4 8 55:41 37
4 Elva 24 11 4 9 42:37 37
5 Tallinna Kalev 23 9 5 9 44:42 32
6 Maardu Linnameeskond 24 9 5 10 36:51 32
7 Levadia U21 23 10 1 12 43:43 31
8 Nomme Utd U21 23 7 5 11 41:51 26
9 FC Tallinn 23 6 6 11 29:51 24
10 Kalju U21 23 5 4 14 31:60 19
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)