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Elva vs Sillamae Kalev II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2016
Elva Logo

Elva

3 - 0
FT
Sillamae Kalev II Logo

Sillamae Kalev II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga B 2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Elva
35%
Draws
24%
Sillamae Kalev II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Sillamae Kalev II.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Elva have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Sillamae Kalev II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Sillamae Kalev II
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2016 Esiliiga B
Elva vs Sillamae Kalev II
3:0
Aug 25, 2016 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs Elva
0:2
Jul 10, 2016 Esiliiga B
Elva vs Sillamae Kalev II
3:2
Feb 28, 2016 Esiliiga B
Sillamae Kalev II vs Elva
1:0
Oct 18, 2015 Esiliiga B
Elva vs Sillamae Kalev II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 32 / 100
Sillamae Kalev II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Sillamae Kalev II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sillamae Kalev II has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Elva found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Elva stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

Sillamae Kalev II

(Away)
05 Nov
Viimsi JK
0 : 0
Sillamae Kalev II
29 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 1
FC Alliance
18 Oct
Raasiku Joker
0 : 4
Sillamae Kalev II
15 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
1 : 2
Vandra Vaprus
01 Oct
Sillamae Kalev II
3 : 3
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuressaare 36 22 8 6 117:48 74
2 Elva 36 21 5 10 67:39 68
3 Tartu JK Welco 36 20 4 12 74:50 64
4 Tammeka Tartu II 36 18 5 13 89:64 59
5 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 16 7 13 72:53 55
6 Sillamae Kalev II 36 16 6 14 70:61 54
7 Raasiku Joker 36 14 10 12 74:66 52
8 Viimsi JK 36 15 6 15 56:64 51
9 Flora U19 36 4 8 24 27:85 20
10 Tulevik Viljandi II 36 3 3 30 26:142 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2017 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2016 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2016 (Relegation)