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Elva W vs Paide Linnameeskond W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lillemets K.
56' Event
Tammik L.
Penalty Missed
63' Event
Kelli N.

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond W in this Meistriliiga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Elva W
15%
Draws
78%
Paide Linnameeskond W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Elva W haven't matched Paide Linnameeskond W's recent run of results.
  • Paide Linnameeskond W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
  • History favors Paide Linnameeskond W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Paide Linnameeskond W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Paide Linnameeskond W
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 0
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.4 3
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Paide Linnameeskond W vs Elva W
9:1
Aug 20, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Paide Linnameeskond W
1:4
Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Paide Linnameeskond W
0:3
May 2, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Paide Linnameeskond W vs Elva W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paide Linnameeskond W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lillemets K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 10 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Paide Linnameeskond W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Elva W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Elva W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS Paide Linnameeskond W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

Paide Linnameeskond W

(Away)
03 Oct
Saku Sporting W
3 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
4 : 2
Saku Sporting W
12 Sept
Flora W
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
05 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 21 14 3 4 66:24 45
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 21 14 0 7 63:34 42
3 Saku Sporting W 21 11 2 8 55:47 35
4 Viimsi JK W 21 10 4 7 47:35 34
5 Harju JK Laagri W 21 4 3 14 31:61 15
6 Elva W 21 3 2 16 29:90 11
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)