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Elva W vs Saku Sporting W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elva W host Saku Sporting W in the Meistriliiga Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Elva W have averaged 1.45 scored and 4.28 conceded recently, against Saku Sporting W's 2.76 scored and 2.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Elva W have won 0 to Saku Sporting W's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 3.81, favoring Saku Sporting W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Elva W
15%
Draws
76%
Saku Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saku Sporting W lately — more wins on the board than Elva W.
  • Model gives Saku Sporting W a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Saku Sporting W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Saku Sporting W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Saku Sporting W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2.76
Goals Conceded 4.28 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
1:4
Aug 1, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
2:8
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 10 / 100
Saku Sporting W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Saku Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saku Sporting W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Elva W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Elva W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS Saku Sporting W
1.25 Goals Scored 3.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

Saku Sporting W

(Away)
03 Oct
Saku Sporting W
3 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond W
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
19 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
4 : 2
Saku Sporting W
12 Sept
Viimsi JK W
0 : 4
Saku Sporting W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 21 14 3 4 66:24 45
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 21 14 0 7 63:34 42
3 Saku Sporting W 21 11 2 8 55:47 35
4 Viimsi JK W 21 10 4 7 47:35 34
5 Harju JK Laagri W 21 4 3 14 31:61 15
6 Elva W 21 3 2 16 29:90 11
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)