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Elva W vs Tabasalu W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Nike Arena, Elva
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Joelaid M.
24' Event
Silina E.
46'
Sub
Rokka S. In: Hunt C.
Out: Rokka S.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Elva W and Tabasalu W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tabasalu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Elva W
15%
Draws
73%
Tabasalu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Elva W haven't matched Tabasalu W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tabasalu W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tabasalu W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Tabasalu W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Tabasalu W
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.64 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Elva W
1:5
Aug 20, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tabasalu W
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Elva W
2:0
May 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tabasalu W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tabasalu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silina E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rank R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 10 / 100
Tabasalu W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Tabasalu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Elva W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (37 games).

Tabasalu W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
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Tabasalu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Tabasalu W
1 : 5
Elva W
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
05 Nov
Tabasalu W
3 : 4
Saku Sporting W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
15 Oct
Viimsi JK W
2 : 1
Tabasalu W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)