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Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Nike Arena, Elva
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kiivit M.
7' Event
Kiivit M.
35' Event
Uibo E.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Elva W and Tammeka Tartu W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Elva W
15%
Draws
42%
Tammeka Tartu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elva W come out ahead of Tammeka Tartu W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tammeka Tartu W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Tammeka Tartu W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Tammeka Tartu W
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 28 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.28
Goals Conceded 3.78 3.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
1:2
Jun 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Uibo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sunts H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tammeka Tartu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiivit M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 18 / 100
Tammeka Tartu W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Tammeka Tartu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu W conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Elva W scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Tammeka Tartu W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
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Tammeka Tartu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
08 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
2 : 1
Elva W
01 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
0 : 8
Flora W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
14 Oct
Saku Sporting W
5 : 0
Tammeka Tartu W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 27 25 1 1 126:11 76
2 Saku Sporting W 27 18 2 7 84:47 56
3 Viimsi JK W 27 15 5 7 60:32 50
4 Tabasalu W 27 14 2 11 51:55 44
5 Tallinna Kalev W 27 9 3 15 58:77 30
6 Tammeka Tartu W 27 4 5 18 32:95 17
7 Elva W 27 4 2 21 28:96 14
8 FC Ararat W 21 5 2 14 22:48 17
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)