Sport Picks
Elversberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg 
Match Events
8'
8'
Sub
Conte B. In: Conde A.
Out: Conte B.
38'
38'
Petkov L.
Assist: Schnellbacher L.
46'
46'
Sub
Grodowski J. In: Uldrikis R.
Out: Grodowski J.
AI Match Summary
Elversberg in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arminia Bielefeld
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Elversberg lately — more wins on the board than Arminia Bielefeld.
- Arminia Bielefeld are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elversberg | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Elversberg
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elversberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Petkov L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Conde A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Arminia Bielefeld Compare
Top Goalscorer Lannert C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elversberg 10 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elversberg Arminia Bielefeld
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elversberg found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Arminia Bielefeld let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Elversberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Elversberg VS Arminia Bielefeld
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elversberg
(Home) 11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1 Elversberg
04 Jul
Giessen
0 : 5 Elversberg
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0 Preussen Munster
10 May
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Elversberg
03 May
Elversberg
5 : 1 Paderborn
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0 Preussen Munster
03 May
Elversberg
5 : 1 Paderborn
17 Apr
Elversberg
3 : 0 Karlsruher
12 Apr
Elversberg
1 : 2 Schalke
21 Mar
Elversberg
3 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 3
Arminia Bielefeld
(Away) 14 Jul
SC Imst
0 : 10 Arminia Bielefeld
08 Jul
Gutersloh
0 : 3 Arminia Bielefeld
02 Jul
Peckeloh
3 : 7 Arminia Bielefeld
17 May
Arminia Bielefeld
6 : 1 Hertha Berlin
08 May
Kaiserslautern
2 : 0 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
SC Imst
0 : 10 Arminia Bielefeld
08 Jul
Gutersloh
0 : 3 Arminia Bielefeld
02 Jul
Peckeloh
3 : 7 Arminia Bielefeld
08 May
Kaiserslautern
2 : 0 Arminia Bielefeld
25 Apr
Preussen Munster
2 : 3 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
