Sport Picks
Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg 
Match Events
8'
8'
Petkov L.
Assist: Onyeka F.
9'
9'
Campbell C.
29'
29'
Rohr M.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elversberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bayer Leverkusen's 2.17 goals per match outpaces what Elversberg have produced (2.14).
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Bayer Leverkusen taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Elversberg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elversberg | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen
3:2
Oct 29, 2024 DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen vs Elversberg
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 DFB Pokal
Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elversberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Petkov L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Campbell C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Bayer Leverkusen Compare
Top Goalscorer Schick P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kofane C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elversberg 14 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elversberg Bayer Leverkusen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bayer Leverkusen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elversberg found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Bayer Leverkusen conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Elversberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Elversberg VS Bayer Leverkusen
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elversberg
(Home) 24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1 Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1 Lorient
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0 Preussen Munster
03 May
Elversberg
5 : 1 Paderborn
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Bayer Leverkusen
(Away) 20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Wehen
0 : 4 Bayer Leverkusen
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
12 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 5 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
