Sport Picks
Elversberg vs Darmstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
DFB Pokal Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg 
Match Events
4'
4'
Sub
Verkooijen N. In: Kehl L.
Out: Verkooijen N.
6'
6'
Kehl L.
53'
53'
Smit M.
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the DFB Pokal. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Darmstadt have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Elversberg have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.18. Head-to-head, Elversberg have won 2 to Darmstadt's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 2.00, favoring Elversberg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Darmstadt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Darmstadt haven't matched Elversberg's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Darmstadt's way, sitting at 90%.
- Elversberg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Elversberg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elversberg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
3:3
Nov 30, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Darmstadt
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Elversberg vs Darmstadt
4:0
Oct 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elversberg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Darmstadt Compare
Top Goalscorer Kehl L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smit M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elversberg 10 / 100
Darmstadt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elversberg Darmstadt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Darmstadt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elversberg found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Darmstadt let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Elversberg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Elversberg VS Darmstadt
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Elversberg
(Home) 24 Oct
RB Leipzig
4 : 0 Elversberg
17 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 3 Augsburg
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0 Elversberg
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1 Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Elversberg
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 3 Augsburg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
15 Aug
Elversberg
4 : 1 Lorient
17 May
Elversberg
3 : 0 Preussen Munster
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Darmstadt
(Away) 23 Oct
Darmstadt
0 : 0 St. Pauli
18 Oct
Karlsruher
4 : 0 Darmstadt
10 Oct
Darmstadt
3 : 1 Energie Cottbus
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1 Darmstadt
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Karlsruher
4 : 0 Darmstadt
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7 Darmstadt
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1 Darmstadt
05 Sept
Kaiserslautern
3 : 0 Darmstadt
23 Aug
Jena
1 : 2 Darmstadt
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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